"A closely related common error is to mistake a prescription for macro-behavior as one that will affect microbehavior, or vice versa."

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More quotes from: Herman Kahn

• "A healthy and fully functioning society must allocate its resources among a variety of competing ..."
• "A surprising number of government committees will make important decisions on fundamental matters with less ..."
• "A total nuclear freeze is counterproductive - especially now, when technology is rapidly changing and ..."
• "A world armed with nuclear weapons would provide a fertile field for paranoiacs, megalomaniacs, and ..."
• "Anything that reduces war-related destruction should not be considered altogether immoral. "
• "Appropriate arms control could increase the trend toward decreased megatonnage and even toward fewer weapons, ..."
• "As for total disarmament, there are almost 50,000 nuclear weapons in the world today; even ..."
• "Because of an over-reliance on nuclear capabilities or fear of the other side's nuclear capabilities, ..."
• "Because of new technologies, new wealth, new conditions of domestic life and of international relations, ..."
• "Clearly, the first task is to gain acceptance of a more reasonable view of the ..."
• "Criteria for decisions are often too narrow because the decision-makers are parochial, partisan, or self-interested, ..."
• "Deterrence itself is not a preeminent value; the primary values are safety and morality. "
• "Even the most utopian of today's visionaries will have to concede that the mere existence ..."
• "Failures of perspective in decision-making can be due to aspects of the social utility paradox, ..."
• "For if enough people were really convinced that growth should be halted, and if they ..."
• "For some years I have spent my time on exactly these questions - both in ..."
• "From a scientific perspective there is some indication that a nuclear war could deplete the ..."
• "Hopefully, nations will refuse to accept a situation in which nuclear accidents actually do occur, ..."
• "Human and moral factors must always be considered. They must never be missing from policies ..."
• "I am against the whole cliche of the moment. "
• "I'm against fashionable thinking. "

• "I'm against ignorance. "
• "I'm against sloppy, emotional thinking. "
• "If we recognize nuclear deterrence as a means toward attaining a safer overall security environment, ..."
• "In 1960 I published a book that attempted to direct attention to the possibility of ..."
• "In a world which is armed to its teeth with nuclear weapons, every quarrel or ..."
• "Indeed, it is the limits-to-growth position which creates low morale, destroys assurance, undermines the legitimacy ..."
• "It is immoral from almost any point of view to refuse to defend yourself and ..."
• "Many people believe that the current system must inevitably end in total annihilation. They reject, ..."
• "Many people seem to believe that any change in weapons technology has to be for ..."
• "Miscarriages of policy decisions can result from a lack of continuity in the effective actors ..."
• "Most administrators dislike debating or thinking about fundamentals, even when vague, implicit, and half-formulated views ..."
• "My guess is that nuclear weapons will be used sometime in the next hundred years, ..."
• "Nevertheless, during the sixty years of the twentieth century many problems have come increasingly into ..."
• "New developments in weapon systems during the 1950s and early 1960s created a situation that ..."
• "Nuclear war is such an emotional subject that many people see the weapons themselves as ..."
• "Nuclear weapons are intrinsically neither moral nor immoral, though they are more prone to immoral ..."
• "Once weapons are allowed to become widely diffused, it becomes much more difficult to work ..."
• "Only those who are ideologically opposed to military programs think of the defense budget as ..."
• "Projecting a persuasive image of a desirable and practical future is extremely important to high ..."
• "The objective of nuclear-weapons policy should not be solely to decrease the number of weapons ..."

• "The possibility of inadvertent war would no doubt increase not only because there would be ..."
• "The widespread diffusion of nuclear weapons would make many nations able, and in some cases ..."
• "There was no race - but to the extent that there was an arms competition, ..."
• "Thus naive utilitarianism can do considerable social damage; and moral rules are required under a ..."
• "To the extent that these advanced weapons or their components are treated as articles of ..."
• "To us, the virtue of the image of the future presented here is not that ..."
• "World War I broke out largely because of an arms race, and World War II ..."